Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.022662 0.024575 0.026572 0.028815 0.031265 0.033862 0.036825
2025-08-10 0.019573 0.022343 0.025399 0.029029 0.033230 0.037946 0.043656
2025-08-17 0.017229 0.020422 0.024091 0.028633 0.034121 0.040557 0.048710
2025-08-24 0.015451 0.018876 0.022944 0.028150 0.034665 0.042585 0.052998
2025-08-31 0.014157 0.017748 0.022134 0.027911 0.035365 0.044712 0.057410
2025-09-07 0.013103 0.016805 0.021439 0.027704 0.036007 0.046714 0.061693
2025-09-14 0.012239 0.016024 0.020868 0.027572 0.036679 0.048727 0.066045
2025-09-21 0.011417 0.015230 0.020210 0.027250 0.037034 0.050285 0.069812
2025-09-28 0.010841 0.014718 0.019882 0.027329 0.037905 0.052553 0.074664
2025-10-05 0.010245 0.014137 0.019414 0.027168 0.038403 0.054292 0.078822
2025-10-12 0.009794 0.013726 0.019149 0.027263 0.039249 0.056545 0.083834
2025-10-19 0.009381 0.013344 0.018896 0.027346 0.040062 0.058769 0.088908
2025-10-26 0.008871 0.012811 0.018425 0.027121 0.040459 0.060480 0.093449
2025-11-02 0.008534 0.012515 0.018285 0.027384 0.041617 0.063427 0.100157
2025-11-09 0.008056 0.011982 0.017759 0.027023 0.041774 0.064813 0.104427
2025-11-16 0.007596 0.011448 0.017200 0.026570 0.041748 0.065887 0.108225
2025-11-23 0.007229 0.011037 0.016805 0.026346 0.042063 0.067509 0.113026
2025-11-30 0.006897 0.010662 0.016444 0.026151 0.042404 0.069176 0.117990
2025-12-07 0.006605 0.010335 0.016140 0.026027 0.042845 0.071022 0.123369
2025-12-14 0.006296 0.009963 0.015744 0.025725 0.042960 0.072305 0.127808
2025-12-21 0.006085 0.009742 0.015579 0.025799 0.043718 0.074732 0.134476
2025-12-28 0.005843 0.009456 0.015294 0.025648 0.044067 0.076448 0.139920
2026-01-04 0.005662 0.009263 0.015153 0.025737 0.044842 0.078960 0.147025